Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.581267 0.643726 0.711189 0.789654 0.878630 0.976653 1.093165
2025-09-07 0.481710 0.567646 0.667605 0.793245 0.948025 1.133865 1.375991
2025-09-14 0.417470 0.512226 0.627947 0.781172 0.980969 1.235782 1.590420
2025-09-21 0.372981 0.472448 0.598710 0.773061 1.011232 1.330637 1.800792
2025-09-28 0.330227 0.429056 0.558464 0.743360 1.005791 1.372801 1.939326
2025-10-05 0.311312 0.414530 0.553822 0.759616 1.063026 1.505617 2.222781
2025-10-12 0.294133 0.400307 0.547507 0.771667 1.113836 1.632815 2.512948
2025-10-19 0.277355 0.384900 0.537649 0.776714 1.153392 1.745662 2.793850
2025-10-26 0.262428 0.370746 0.528053 0.780583 1.190470 1.857293 3.086667
2025-11-02 0.250259 0.359565 0.521687 0.788337 1.233706 1.982680 3.420281
2025-11-09 0.233286 0.339863 0.500715 0.770671 1.232513 2.031293 3.618309
2025-11-16 0.224132 0.331440 0.496471 0.779582 1.276822 2.163899 3.995581
2025-11-23 0.212350 0.318328 0.484145 0.774418 1.296835 2.256301 4.311188
2025-11-30 0.203276 0.308928 0.477127 0.777672 1.332230 2.381675 4.716515
2025-12-07 0.192108 0.295398 0.462310 0.765888 1.338327 2.450440 5.009738
2025-12-14 0.182616 0.284019 0.450278 0.757965 1.350690 2.532645 5.346479
2025-12-21 0.170176 0.267030 0.427640 0.728950 1.319262 2.521052 5.460964
2025-12-28 0.166321 0.264250 0.429256 0.744831 1.378110 2.706242 6.085697
2026-01-04 0.162031 0.260448 0.428775 0.756603 1.429636 2.881873 6.720849
2026-01-11 0.156958 0.254983 0.424946 0.761533 1.467265 3.030977 7.316061
2026-01-18 0.152042 0.249511 0.420736 0.765312 1.502687 3.179332 7.939850
2026-01-25 0.147965 0.245297 0.418544 0.772886 1.547037 3.354534 8.678517
2026-02-01 0.140773 0.235115 0.404670 0.755631 1.534264 3.388511 9.003465